2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

De (autor): Jorgen Randers

2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years - Jorgen Randers

2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

De (autor): Jorgen Randers

With clarity, conscience, and courage, global-systems pioneer Jorgen Randers and his distinguished contributors map the forces that will shape the next four decades.

Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline."

So, where are we now? And what does our future look like? In the book 2052, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead.

The good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens. Runaway global warming, too, is likely.

So, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.

Citește mai mult

transport gratuit

136.00Lei

136.00Lei

Primești 136 puncte

Important icon msg

Primești puncte de fidelitate după fiecare comandă! 100 puncte de fidelitate reprezintă 1 leu. Folosește-le la viitoarele achiziții!

Livrare in 2-4 saptamani

Plasează rapid comanda

Important icon msg

Poți comanda acest produs introducând numărul tău de telefon. În cel mai scurt timp vei fi apelat de un operator Libris pentru preluarea datelor necesare.

Completează mai jos numărul tău de telefon

Descrierea produsului

With clarity, conscience, and courage, global-systems pioneer Jorgen Randers and his distinguished contributors map the forces that will shape the next four decades.

Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline."

So, where are we now? And what does our future look like? In the book 2052, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead.

The good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens. Runaway global warming, too, is likely.

So, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.

Citește mai mult

De același autor

Părerea ta e inspirație pentru comunitatea Libris!

Istoricul tău de navigare

Noi suntem despre cărți, și la fel este și

Newsletter-ul nostru.

Abonează-te la veștile literare și primești un cupon de -10% pentru viitoarea ta comandă!

*Reducerea aplicată prin cupon nu se cumulează, ci se aplică reducerea cea mai mare.

Mă abonez image one
Mă abonez image one
Accessibility Logo